Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LPT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-08 5.005917 5.953336 7.005556 8.257174 9.701556 11.312106 13.239777
2025-06-15 3.650907 4.870309 6.361229 8.303208 10.749082 13.709184 17.542360
2025-06-22 2.645914 3.906301 5.581781 7.939386 11.132751 15.264097 20.961303
2025-06-29 2.076041 3.349497 5.169272 7.903170 11.837158 17.211864 25.008622
2025-07-06 1.665943 2.914784 4.819697 7.852661 12.453668 19.041507 29.018018
2025-07-13 1.473776 2.764547 4.845705 8.324521 13.837225 22.038373 34.896836
2025-07-20 1.278121 2.563648 4.748803 8.572463 14.882194 24.605015 40.338941
2025-07-27 1.145139 2.442194 4.755173 8.971914 16.184737 27.647541 46.714870
2025-08-03 0.975689 2.217302 4.543047 8.963203 16.801591 29.647057 51.603129
2025-08-10 0.797657 1.937181 4.183213 8.637529 16.830176 30.676281 54.992043
2025-08-17 0.656383 1.701777 3.867138 8.341267 16.861790 31.687423 58.392974
2025-08-24 0.567349 1.561225 3.714213 8.328711 17.391198 33.567690 63.358492
2025-08-31 0.494915 1.446040 3.600565 8.388340 18.078495 35.809576 69.168137
2025-09-07 0.426123 1.324065 3.452673 8.358150 18.589238 37.775496 74.638732
2025-09-14 0.344723 1.148548 3.153756 7.965394 18.337856 38.317667 77.591362
2025-09-21 0.296971 1.052394 3.022842 7.919353 18.778146 40.177530 83.061657
2025-09-28 0.255970 0.964715 2.896795 7.865229 19.190906 42.007098 88.585417
2025-10-05 0.244153 0.963694 2.990646 8.336399 20.770247 46.223659 98.888358
2025-10-12 0.223696 0.929668 2.991993 8.584145 21.880519 49.577835 107.724452
2025-10-19 0.210878 0.918099 3.052332 8.983882 23.363782 53.779780 118.451005
2025-10-26 0.185282 0.854453 2.956082 8.975091 23.914087 56.100081 125.586670
2025-11-02 0.153772 0.758718 2.748833 8.649011 23.691796 56.786727 129.478934
2025-11-09 0.127972 0.675812 2.563134 8.352392 23.504883 57.525378 133.506706